Houston at Jacksonville
Houston is 3-1 SU and ATS overall vs Jacksonville last 3 years. Jacksonville is only scoring 16.7 points per game overall this year. Texans are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games after scoring less than 15 points in their previous game. Texans are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games in Week 4. Jaguars are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games in September. Jaguars are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games in Week 4. Jaguars are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games on grass. Texans are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 meetings. Underdog is 5-2 ATS in their last 7 meetings.
Holding Florida State to just 220 yds a major endorsement of a veteran Wake defense whose 9 RS are allowing just 15 PPG, 4.4 YPPL and 3.3 YPR. The later of course is the key factor in stopping the Navy ground game that averages 346 RYPG on 6.5 YPR. In short, they have a massive 3.3 net YPR diff, for a 16 pt underdog. The Middies have long been a great traveler including a recent mark of 11-4 ATS RD. Likewise, the dog has covered 60% in all Grobe games at Wake. Must also love the value resulting from Wake’s 3-0 SU, 2-1 ATS start. Lone deterrent is the Navy defense allowing 28 PPG and 6.2 YPPL. They won’t go down with the ship!
TAKE NAVY +16
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The Padres send ace right hander Jake Peavey up against Greg Maddux and the Dodgers in Los Angeles tonight with a boatload of good numbers on Peavy’s side. Included are 8 straight team starts wins for Peavy, with 12 walks and 42 strikeouts in those efforts. In addition, Maddux is 1-6 in his last 7 team starts and just 3-7 in his last 10 home starts during the month of September. With all the pressure squarely on the Dodgers, look for Peavy and the Padres to come up big tonight.
Take San Diego
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