If you’re in an NFL survival pool, chances are you got burned last week when the New England Patriots managed to lose in their home opener to the Arizona Cardinals. If you’re a betting man and you laid down the points you had no chance as the Patriots couldn’t even win the game outright. Not even the best sports betting minds could have predicted the Cardinals winning on the money line.
Which of course highlights the perils of betting early in the NFL season. Even with teams like the Patriots, we’re learning what the 2012 version is all about. For example, who would have predicted before the season that Wes Welker’s playing time would be reduced significantly and that there would be rumors of him being on the trading block. With the injury to Aaron Hernandez that might change a bit, but now the Patriots are bringing in Kellen Winslow so we may see Welker continue to spend many offensive snaps on the bench.
Of course this is early, and we might see Welker and the Patriots get back to their old form, but betters need to be careful, while fantasy football owners to drafted Welker high have to be bummed out.
The Patriots have been one of the most consistent success stories in the NFL, but things do change over time, so watch closely and be careful about laying down big money.
New Orleans Saints quarterback Drew Brees (9) throws a pass against the Carolina Panthers during their NFL football game in Charlotte, North Carolina November 7, 2010. REUTERS/Chris Keane (UNITED STATES – Tags: SPORT FOOTBALL)
The Divisional round of the 2012 NFL Playoffs kicks off today with a NFC battle between the New Orleans Saints and the San Francisco 49ers at 4:30PM ET.
Oddsmakers have installed the 49ers as 3.5-point home underdogs while the over/under total is sitting at 50.5 points. The Saints covered last Saturday night versus the Lions as 10.5-point favorites in the Wildcard round. The 49ers, meanwhile, had a first-round bye after securing the No. 2 seed in the NFC.
The Saints have covered the spread in seven consecutive games after allowing 300 or more passing yards in their previous contest, and they have also covered the spread in seven of their last eight games coming off a home win. New Orleans has covered the spread in 12 of its last 15 games as a favorite and has also covered in eight of its last 10 games after scoring 30 or more points in its previous contest.
New Orleans Saints quarterback Drew Brees is lifted by guard Carl Nicks (77) after setting a new NFL single season passing record of 5087 yards, surpassing Dan Marino’s 5084 yards, with a touchdown pass to Darren Sproles against the Atlanta Falcons during their NFL football game in New Orleans, Louisiana December 26, 2011. REUTERS/Sean Gardner (UNITED STATES – Tags: SPORT FOOTBALL)
The 2012 NFL Playoffs kick off today with two great Wildcard matchups. One of which, tonight’s Detroit Lions-New Orleans Saints game, figures to be a highly entertaining battle.
Oddsmakers have installed the Saints as 10.5-point home favorites over the Lions for tonight’s 8:00PM ET kickoff, while the over/under total is currently sitting at 59.5 points. Detroit finished the regular season with a 10-6 record and a 5-3 mark on the road, while New Orleans is 13-3 overall and 8-0 at home. The Lions secured the sixth seed while New Orleans clinched the third.
Detroit has lost five of its last six games against the spread and has lost five of its last six games against the spread as a road underdog of 10.5 to 14 points. The Lions have also lost four of their last five games against the spread when the total posted is greater than 49.5 points and they are allowing an average of 27 points a game on defense in road games this season.
Chicago Bears linebacker Brian Urlacher (54) and quarterback Jay Cutler (6) stand on the sidelines during the fourth quarter at Soldier Field on September 11, 2011 in Chicago. The Bears won 30-12. UPI/Brian Kersey
NFC North rivals clash in Chicago tonight when the Bears host the Minnesota Vikings on Sunday Night Football.
The Bears opened as 3-point home favorites but the line has dropped considerably from earlier in the week. Now Chicago is only a 1-point favorite at most books, making the home team a nice value when it comes to betting.
Chicago has won four of its last five games coming off a division loss and is averaging over 27 points per game at home this season. Minnesota, on the other hand, has lost four of its last five games and has dropped 13 of it last 15 games as an underdog.